STATE OF PLAY · WA · MAY 2026

Washington State: Strong odds across the board, one standout at $10.

Washington's 59 active games all publish comprehensive prize-tier data via a single embedded JSON payload — the cleanest data feed in our system. One $10 game currently stands out with an unusually strong combination of top-prize survival and slow drainage.

By Tirage Analysis Desk · · 5 min read

EV/$ Distribution · Washington

64 games with EV data · median 0.65

< 0.400.40–0.600.60–0.800.80–1.00≥ 1.000153047
Below break-even
+EV (≥ 1.00)

Fig. 1 — EV/$ distribution across 64 active Washington games as of .

1. Washington's data quality advantage.

The Washington Lottery embeds all game data — including prize tier counts, odds, and print volumes — directly in the page source as a single JSON object. This means our surveillance system achieves 100% EV coverage for all 59 active WA games, with zero estimation error in ticket-count denominators.

States that require us to estimate total tickets from overall odds (rather than explicit print counts) introduce noise into EV/$ calculations. Washington does not have this problem, which makes it one of our highest-confidence state datasets.

"Washington's single-JSON data feed gives us 100% EV coverage with zero estimation error — one of our highest-confidence state datasets."

2. The standout: a $10 game with unusually favorable tier survival.

One $10 game (not named here due to a potential data update in the next 24h — check the live game page) shows 82% of tickets sold but only 31% of top-prize count claimed. This inversion — where sell-through outpaces top-prize redemption — is exactly what our models are designed to detect.

Current EV/$ is 1.03. The P50 sell-out is ~35 days out at current drainage.

Methodology. WA data is sourced from the Washington Lottery's WaLottery.Scratch.data JSON object, updated daily. All 59 active games have full EV coverage.

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