STATE OF PLAY · PA · MAY 2026

Pennsylvania leads the nation in +EV count for the second consecutive week.

Seven Pennsylvania scratch-off games currently clear break-even — the most of any US state. The state's large retail footprint, combined with sluggish top-prize redemption in the $10–$30 tier, has created an unusually rich opportunity window.

By Tirage Analysis Desk · · 5 min read

EV/$ Distribution · Pennsylvania

9 games with EV data · median 0.80

3 +EV games
< 0.400.40–0.600.60–0.800.80–1.00≥ 1.000246
Below break-even
+EV (≥ 1.00)

Fig. 1 — EV/$ distribution across 196 active Pennsylvania games as of .

1. Seven games above break-even — a national record for this spring.

Pennsylvania's 7 active +EV games is the highest count we've logged for any state in the spring 2026 tracking window. The cluster is concentrated in the $10–$30 tier, where PA prints large volumes and where top prizes tend to sell slowly relative to the overall ticket velocity.

The state's 184 active games are all covered by our EV model, giving us 100% confidence in these figures.

"Five of PA's seven +EV games are priced at $20. That tier has historically exhibited the widest late-lifecycle EV window in this state."

2. The $20 tier is the sweet spot.

Of PA's 7 +EV games, five are priced at $20. This price point in Pennsylvania has historically exhibited the strongest late-lifecycle EV gains: $20 games have larger top-prize multipliers and slower initial sell-through than $5–$10 games, creating a wider +EV window once they age past 50% sold.

Avoid the $1–$5 tier in PA this month — none clear 0.75 EV/$ and the state's smaller-prize games are showing near-average drainage.

3. Risk: PA's daily snapshot cadence.

Pennsylvania publishes remaining-prize data at approximately 24-hour intervals. Unlike Texas (which publishes near-real-time counts), PA's data can be up to 36 hours stale when we access it. This means a top-prize claim that occurred yesterday may not yet be reflected in today's EV/$ figures.

We flag PA games with a "⚠ 24h data lag" indicator on their game pages. Factor this into your decision — the stated EV/$ is accurate as of the last confirmed snapshot, not necessarily this moment.

Methodology. PA data is sourced directly from the Pennsylvania Lottery's official remaining-prizes page, updated daily. EV/$ coverage is 100% for active PA games with 'Overall chances' data on their detail pages.

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