11 games clear break-even nationally. Set your state to see which ones you can actually buy.
You'll see better picks once you tell us your state.
Scratch-offs are state-licensed. Tailoring removes out-of-reach picks and shows you the smartest play you can actually buy.
Sunday, October 25, 2026
Today's smartest scratch-off plays in the US.
Every morning we score every active US scratch-off by expected value and rank them. Today, 11 games across multiple states clear break-even — the math is in your favor on these. Tell us your state and we'll narrow the list to what you can actually buy.
Games tracked
4,354
+EV nationally
11
Best EV/$
4.22
Last scan
12:06 PM
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Today's pick · №1
The play
Today's pick
$5
$500 Cash Money
$500 Cash Money
Every morning our scanning infrastructure scores every active PA game by expected value. This is today's strongest play — the math is statistically in your favor.
EV/$
4.22
Top prizes left
1
Overall odds
1:4.58
Top prize
$250,000
Week of Oct 25 · National
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About
What Tirage does
Every morning our autonomous multi-state scanning infrastructure pulls prize-remaining data directly from official state lottery data feeds across 36+ US states and 2 Canadian lottery corporations. We run each game through our quantitative models and rank them by expected value per dollar.
The result: a daily list of the statistically strongest plays in your state — without the noise, the scarcity tactics, or the lottery's own marketing.
FAQ
Common questions
What is expected value (EV) per dollar?↓
Expected value per dollar (EV/$) is the average return you can statistically expect from each dollar spent on a scratch-off, based on the prizes still unclaimed. An EV/$ of 0.72 means you'll get back about $0.72 on average for every $1 wagered. Values above 1.00 mean the math is statistically in your favor.
How often is the data updated?↓
Our autonomous multi-state surveillance system scans official state lottery data feeds daily, typically before 6 AM ET. Each game's expected value is recalculated after every scan.
Are scratch-off odds public information?↓
Yes. Most US state lotteries are required by law to publish both the overall odds and the remaining-prize counts for every active scratch-off game. We catalogue these daily.
Why is EV/$ sometimes unavailable?↓
Some states publish prize tables but not overall odds or total ticket counts. Without the total-remaining-tickets figure our quantitative models require as a key input, we can't produce a reliable EV estimate. Those games show — instead of a number.
Analysis
Latest from the desk
Oct 21, 2026
Maryland and Wisconsin Carry a Quiet Scratch-Off Week
Six states launched 19 new scratch-offs between October 12 and 18, led by Maryland's six-ticket rack refresh and Wisconsin's unusual $15 Reindeer Countdown, while Ohio's launch drought stretched to roughly 16 weeks. South Carolina's Triple Red 777 gave up its first $500,000 top prize barely ten days after hitting shelves.
Oct 13, 2026
North Carolina's $8 Million Ticket Tops the Holiday Wave
A dozen states Tirage covers reloaded their racks with winter and holiday instants between October 5 and 11, most on a single day, led by North Carolina's $50 $8 Million Supreme and Virginia's $50 Premier Play. Massachusetts ended an eight-week launch drought, Michigan players claimed $3 million in instant-game prizes, and our models still read Virginia's 50X The Money at about $1.95 per dollar.
Oct 6, 2026
Michigan's $6 Million Ticket Leads the Holiday Rack Reset
Eight states Tirage covers launched new scratch-offs between September 28 and October 4, led by Michigan's $50 Ultimate $6,000,000 Blowout!, Arizona's five-ticket holiday wave and North Carolina's first university-branded instants. Georgia players claimed more than $38.6 million in scratch-off prizes, and our models read Virginia's 50X The Money at about $1.80 per dollar, its sixth straight week on top.
Newsletter
The week's math, for your states.
A Sunday digest of what moved, plus an alert the day a game in your states crosses break-even. Free, and you pick the states.