+EV ALERT

8 games clear break-even nationally. Set your state to see which ones you can actually buy.

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Tuesday, July 21, 2026

Today's smartest scratch-off plays in the US.

Every morning we score every active US scratch-off by expected value and rank them. Today, 8 games across multiple states clear break-even — the math is in your favor on these. Tell us your state and we'll narrow the list to what you can actually buy.

Games tracked

3,840

+EV nationally

8

Best EV/$

4.22

Last scan

12:13 PM

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

Today's pick · №1

The play

Today's pick

$5

$500 Cash Money

PA$5

$500 Cash Money

Every morning our scanning infrastructure scores every active PA game by expected value. This is today's strongest play — the math is statistically in your favor.

EV/$

4.22

Top prizes left

1

Overall odds

1:4.58

Top prize

$250,000

4.22

EV / Dollar

+EVView analysis →

Week of Jul 21 · National

Top plays this week

Coverage

All states

AZ
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About

What Tirage does

Every morning our autonomous multi-state scanning infrastructure pulls prize-remaining data directly from official state lottery data feeds across 36+ US states and 2 Canadian lottery corporations. We run each game through our quantitative models and rank them by expected value per dollar.

The result: a daily list of the statistically strongest plays in your state — without the noise, the scarcity tactics, or the lottery's own marketing.

FAQ

Common questions

What is expected value (EV) per dollar?

Expected value per dollar (EV/$) is the average return you can statistically expect from each dollar spent on a scratch-off, based on the prizes still unclaimed. An EV/$ of 0.72 means you'll get back about $0.72 on average for every $1 wagered. Values above 1.00 mean the math is statistically in your favor.

How often is the data updated?

Our autonomous multi-state surveillance system scans official state lottery data feeds daily, typically before 6 AM ET. Each game's expected value is recalculated after every scan.

Are scratch-off odds public information?

Yes. Most US state lotteries are required by law to publish both the overall odds and the remaining-prize counts for every active scratch-off game. We catalogue these daily.

Why is EV/$ sometimes unavailable?

Some states publish prize tables but not overall odds or total ticket counts. Without a denominator — the total remaining tickets — our quantitative models cannot produce a reliable EV estimate. Those games show — instead of a number.

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