TX · #2590 · $50

X

Texas· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.78

USA percentile

89th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

1

$1,000,000 tier

% sold-through

63%

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

~887d

P10–P90: 621–1242d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

X is a $50 scratch-off game from the Texas (game #2590). As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $1M remains unclaimed, with roughly 63% of tickets sold, as published by the Texas. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.49. Our models put its expected value at 0.78 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.78 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.78 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.25% of $1.0M prizes still unclaimed at 63% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 4.17% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~887 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 89th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

9 tiers · % remaining
$1M
1/4
25%
$20K
41/104
$5K
140/364
$1K
727/1.9K
$500
25.3K/68.8K
$200
112.6K/306.0K
$150
56.3K/153.0K
$100
283.4K/765.0K
$75
169.8K/459.0K

Total unclaimed prize value: $87.96M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active TX games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
TX median0.68 EV/$
YOU · 89th
USA: 89th percentileTX: 88th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 29Jun 5Jun 12Jun 19Jun 26Jul 16Jul 23Jul 30Jan 80%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~01-08

Daily drainage

~4.17% / day

Days left (P50)

887 days

P10 / P90 range

621–1242 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.78

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -1%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — TX field

89 games · break-even highlighted
$0$30$60$1020.000.250.500.90YOU

No other active TX games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN TX

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal