TX · #2624 · $50

$5 Million Royale

Texas· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.80

USA percentile

94th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

2

$5,000,000 tier

% sold-through

64%

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

~420d

P10–P90: 294–588d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$5 Million Royale is a $50 scratch-off game from the Texas (game #2624). As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $5M remain unclaimed, with roughly 64% of tickets sold, as published by the Texas. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.66. Our models put its expected value at 0.80 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.80 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.80 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.50% of $5.0M prizes still unclaimed at 64% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 8.50% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~420 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 94th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

8 tiers · % remaining
$5M
2/4
50%
$10K
37/112
$1K
2.1K/5.7K
$500
36.6K/103.3K
$200
64.3K/181.1K
$150
107.8K/302.0K
$100
161.5K/453.1K
$50
216.7K/603.9K

Total unclaimed prize value: $86.81M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active TX games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
TX median0.68 EV/$
YOU · 94th
USA: 94th percentileTX: 99th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 28Jun 4Jun 11Jun 18Jun 25Jul 15Jul 22Jul 29Sep 290%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~09-29

Daily drainage

~8.50% / day

Days left (P50)

420 days

P10 / P90 range

294–588 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.80

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +8%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — TX field

89 games · break-even highlighted
$0$30$60$1020.000.250.500.90YOU

No other active TX games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal