NJ · #1969 · $5

LOTERIA Grande

New Jersey· Launched Jul 2026· 27 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.68

USA percentile

56th

of 1,986 games

Top prizes left

3

$100,000 tier

% sold-through

3%

2026-07-28

Forecast sellout

~418d

P10–P90: 293–585d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

LOTERIA Grande is a $5 scratch-off game from the New Jersey (game #1969). It launched in July 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 3 top prizes of $100 remain unclaimed, with roughly 3% of tickets sold, as published by the New Jersey. Our models put its expected value at 0.68 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.68 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.68 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.100% of $100,000 prizes still unclaimed at 3% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 23.17% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~418 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 56th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

13 tiers · % remaining
$100K
3/3
100%
$2K
72/73
$500
590/616
$250
992/1.0K
$100
13.3K/13.7K
$75
4.5K/4.7K
$50
20.2K/20.9K
$40
23.0K/23.7K
$25
75.7K/78.2K
$20
75.7K/78.2K
$15
75.7K/78.2K
$10
416.8K/430.4K
$5
455.0K/469.5K

Total unclaimed prize value: $15.57M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 1,986 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NJ games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
NJ median0.66 EV/$
YOU · 56th
USA: 56th percentileNJ: 56th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Jul 13Jul 15Jul 17Jul 19Jul 21Jul 23Jul 25Jul 27Sep 190%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~09-19

Daily drainage

~23.17% / day

Days left (P50)

418 days

P10 / P90 range

293–585 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.68

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +42%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 42% above the 30-day mean — velocity accelerating.

Price vs EV — NJ field

131 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.250.500.98YOU

No other active NJ games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN NJ

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal