NJ · #1986 · $5

Poker Nights

New Jersey· Launched Jul 2026· 33 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.70

USA percentile

66th

of 2,082 games

Top prizes left

3

$150,000 tier

% sold-through

26%

2026-08-31

Forecast sellout

~105d

P10–P90: 74–147d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

Poker Nights is a $5 scratch-off game from the New Jersey (game #1986). It launched in July 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 3 top prizes of $150 remain unclaimed, with roughly 26% of tickets sold, as published by the New Jersey. Our models put its expected value at 0.70 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.70 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.70 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.75% of $150,000 prizes still unclaimed at 26% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 70.83% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~105 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 66th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

9 tiers · % remaining
$150K
3/4
75%
$2.5K
31/40
$500
653/882
$200
1.4K/1.9K
$100
13.8K/18.7K
$50
42.3K/57.1K
$20
180.8K/243.7K
$10
302.0K/405.9K
$5
303.2K/406.1K

Total unclaimed prize value: $12.78M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,082 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NJ games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
NJ median0.66 EV/$
YOU · 66th
USA: 66th percentileNJ: 78th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Jul 29Aug 2Aug 6Aug 11Aug 15Aug 19Aug 23Aug 27Dec 140%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~12-14

Daily drainage

~70.83% / day

Days left (P50)

105 days

P10 / P90 range

74–147 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.70

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -7%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — NJ field

137 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.250.500.98YOU

No other active NJ games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN NJ

If you like this game, look at these

Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal

Know when this one turns

We alert you the day a NJ game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.

A weekly digest and break-even alerts for your states. We'll email you a confirmation link first. Unsubscribe in one click, any time. What you'll get