NJ · #1932 · $5

LOTERIA Grande

New Jersey· Launched Oct 2025· 295 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.70

USA percentile

64th

of 1,986 games

Top prizes left

2

$100,000 tier

% sold-through

87%

2026-07-28

Forecast sellout

~86d

P10–P90: 60–120d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

LOTERIA Grande is a $5 scratch-off game from the New Jersey (game #1932). It launched in October 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $100 remain unclaimed, with roughly 87% of tickets sold, as published by the New Jersey. Our models put its expected value at 0.70 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.70 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.70 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.67% of $100,000 prizes still unclaimed at 87% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 15.00% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~86 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 64th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

13 tiers · % remaining
$100K
2/3
67%
$2K
24/72
$500
71/610
$250
105/1.0K
$100
1.4K/13.5K
$75
495/4.6K
$50
2.3K/20.6K
$40
2.5K/23.4K
$25
8.7K/77.4K
$20
9.3K/77.4K
$15
9.5K/77.4K
$10
53.6K/425.5K
$5
65.7K/464.2K

Total unclaimed prize value: $2.11M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 1,986 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NJ games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
NJ median0.66 EV/$
YOU · 64th
USA: 64th percentileNJ: 73th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 28Jun 3Jun 9Jun 15Jun 21Jun 27Jul 16Jul 22Oct 220%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~10-22

Daily drainage

~15.00% / day

Days left (P50)

86 days

P10 / P90 range

60–120 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.70

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -26%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 26% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.

Price vs EV — NJ field

131 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.250.500.98YOU

No other active NJ games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal