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WIN BIG
Connecticut· Launched Mar 2025· 496 days on shelf· scanned 6d ago
EV / Dollar
0.79
USA percentile
92th
of 2,022 games
Top prizes left
2
$3,000,000 tier
% sold-through
43%
2026-07-30
Forecast sellout
~981d
P10–P90: 687–1373d
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
WIN BIG is a $30 scratch-off game from the Connecticut (game #1816). It launched in March 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $3M remain unclaimed, with roughly 43% of tickets sold, as published by the Connecticut. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.00. Our models put its expected value at 0.79 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.79 per dollar on average at current prize levels.
THE THESIS
At 0.79 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.
- 1.67% of $3.0M prizes still unclaimed at 43% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Current daily drainage rate is 5.83% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~981 days at this pace.
- 3.Ranks in the 92nd percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
10 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $36.16M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,022 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active CT games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionDaily drainage
~5.83% / day
Days left (P50)
981 days
P10 / P90 range
687–1373 d
EV at P50 sellout
0.79
Claim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersTrailing 7-day claim rate 86% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.
Price vs EV — CT field
50 games · break-even highlightedNo other active CT games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN CT
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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal