CT · #1858 · $20

$100, $200 or $500

Connecticut· Launched Jan 2026· 160 days on shelf· scanned yesterday

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.76

USA percentile

83th

of 1,870 games

Top prizes left

2455

$500 tier

% sold-through

67%

2026-06-21

Forecast sellout

~94d

P10–P90: 66–132d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$100, $200 or $500 is a $20 scratch-off game from the Connecticut (game #1858). It launched in January 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 2455 top prizes of $500 remain unclaimed, with roughly 67% of tickets sold, as published by the Connecticut. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 9.19. Our models put its expected value at 0.76 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.76 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.76 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.33% of $500 prizes still unclaimed at 67% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 35.00% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~94 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 83rd percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

3 tiers · % remaining
$500
2.5K/7.5K
33%
$200
12.4K/37.9K
$100
41.7K/125.9K

Total unclaimed prize value: $7.88M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 1,870 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active CT games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
CT median0.68 EV/$
YOU · 83th
USA: 83th percentileCT: 84th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 22May 26May 30Jun 3Jun 7Jun 11Jun 15Jun 19Sep 240%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~09-24

Daily drainage

~35.00% / day

Days left (P50)

94 days

P10 / P90 range

66–132 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.76

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -5%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — CT field

41 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.250.500.93YOU

No other active CT games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal