CT · #1796 · $20

$2,000,000 Jackpot

Connecticut· Launched Jul 2024· 737 days on shelf· scanned 6d ago

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.79

USA percentile

91th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

1

$2,000,000 tier

% sold-through

70%

2026-07-30

Forecast sellout

~328d

P10–P90: 230–459d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$2,000,000 Jackpot is a $20 scratch-off game from the Connecticut (game #1796). It launched in July 2024. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $2M remains unclaimed, with roughly 70% of tickets sold, as published by the Connecticut. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.08. Our models put its expected value at 0.79 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.79 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.79 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.33% of $2.0M prizes still unclaimed at 70% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 9.17% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~328 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 91st percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

13 tiers · % remaining
$2M
1/3
33%
$100K
3/6
$50K
2/9
$25K
4/12
$10K
7/24
$5K
29/93
$1K
248/811
$500
3.1K/10.4K
$100
9.8K/33.3K
$50
24.8K/83.3K
$40
29.8K/99.9K
$25
75.0K/249.2K
$20
100.7K/333.0K

Total unclaimed prize value: $11.78M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active CT games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
CT median0.68 EV/$
YOU · 91th
USA: 91th percentileCT: 91th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Jun 1Jun 6Jun 12Jun 18Jun 24Jul 13Jul 19Jul 25Jun 290%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~06-29

Daily drainage

~9.17% / day

Days left (P50)

328 days

P10 / P90 range

230–459 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.79

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -86%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 86% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.

Price vs EV — CT field

50 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.250.500.97YOU

No other active CT games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal