$2,000,000 Jackpot — $20 Connecticut scratch-off ticket
CT · #1796 · $20

$2,000,000 Jackpot

Connecticut· Launched Jul 2024· 763 days on shelf· scanned 11d ago

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.79

USA percentile

92th

of 2,082 games

Top prizes left

1

$2,000,000 tier

% sold-through

72%

2026-08-20

Forecast sellout

~378d

P10–P90: 265–529d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$2,000,000 Jackpot is a $20 scratch-off game from the Connecticut (game #1796). It launched in July 2024. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $2M remains unclaimed, with roughly 72% of tickets sold, as published by the Connecticut. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.08. Our models put its expected value at 0.79 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.79 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.79 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.33% of $2.0M prizes still unclaimed at 72% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 7.50% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~378 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 92nd percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

13 tiers · % remaining
$2M
1/3
33%
$100K
3/6
$50K
2/9
$25K
3/12
$10K
5/24
$5K
27/93
$1K
235/811
$500
2.9K/10.4K
$100
9.2K/33.3K
$50
23.4K/83.3K
$40
28.0K/99.9K
$25
70.9K/249.2K
$20
95.1K/333.0K

Total unclaimed prize value: $11.23M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,082 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active CT games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
CT median0.68 EV/$
YOU · 92th
USA: 92th percentileCT: 94th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Jun 7Jun 13Jun 19Jun 25Jul 14Jul 20Jul 26Aug 15Sep 130%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~09-13

Daily drainage

~7.50% / day

Days left (P50)

378 days

P10 / P90 range

265–529 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.79

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -100%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 100% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.

Price vs EV — CT field

57 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.250.500.99YOU

No other active CT games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN CT

If you like this game, look at these

Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal

Know when this one turns

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