Million Dollar Loteria#2764
Texas· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.75
USA percentile
80th
of 2,195 games
Top prizes left
8
$1,000,000 tier
% sold-through
14%
2026-11-03
Forecast sellout
~434d
P10–P90: 304–608d
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Million Dollar Loteria is a $20 scratch-off game from the Texas lottery (game #2764). As of the most recent daily scan, 8 top prizes of $1M remain unclaimed, with roughly 14% of tickets sold, as published by the Texas lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.29. Our models put its expected value at 0.75 per dollar, returning about $0.75 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 10 of 17 $20 games on sale in Texas.
THE THESIS
At 0.75 EV/$, this game ranks 10 of 17 same-price games on sale in Texas (median 0.75).
- 1.80% of $1.0M prizes still unclaimed at 14% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Current daily drainage rate is 19.83% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~434 days at this pace.
- 3.Ranks in the 80th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
13 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $331.17M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,195 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active TX games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionDaily drainage
~19.83% / day
Days left (P50)
434 days
P10 / P90 range
304–608 d
EV at P50 sellout
0.75
Claim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersClaim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.
Price vs EV — TX field
105 games · break-even highlightedNo other active TX games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
Million Dollar Loteria (#2764): prizes, value and pace
As of November 3, 2026, 8 of the 10 $1,000,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 13 prize levels the lottery reports, 6,728,609 of 7,818,028 prizes (86%) remain.
At current prize levels a $20 ticket returns about $14.97 on average (0.75 per dollar), which ranks 10 of 17 $20 games on sale in Texas, level with the $20 median of 0.75. Among every Texas game with a computable value it is 24 of 105; nationally it sits in the 80th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 426,987 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, including 1 top prize; at the current pace the remaining tickets would sell out in about 434 days (likely range 304–608).
Texas also sells another issue of Million Dollar Loteria: game #2653. Each issue has its own print run and prize pool, so their odds and remaining prizes differ.
Figures come from the prize data the Texas lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 3, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN TX
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a TX game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.