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Million Dollar Loteria
Texas· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.73
USA percentile
74th
of 2,082 games
Top prizes left
—
$1,000,000 tier
% sold-through
2%
2026-08-31
Forecast sellout
~496d
P10–P90: 347–694d
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Million Dollar Loteria is a $20 scratch-off game from the Texas (game #2764). Roughly 2% of this game's tickets have sold through to date. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.29. Our models put its expected value at 0.73 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.73 per dollar on average at current prize levels.
THE THESIS
At 0.73 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.
- 1.Current daily drainage rate is 19.67% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~496 days at this pace.
- 2.Ranks in the 74th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
13 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $365.56M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,082 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active TX games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionDaily drainage
~19.67% / day
Days left (P50)
496 days
P10 / P90 range
347–694 d
EV at P50 sellout
0.73
Claim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersTrailing 7-day claim rate 33% above the 30-day mean — velocity accelerating.
Price vs EV — TX field
93 games · break-even highlightedNo other active TX games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN TX
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a TX game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.