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Million Dollar Loteria
Texas· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.75
USA percentile
81th
of 2,082 games
Top prizes left
1
$1,000,000 tier
% sold-through
88%
2026-08-31
Forecast sellout
~89d
P10–P90: 62–125d
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Million Dollar Loteria is a $20 scratch-off game from the Texas (game #2653). As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $1M remains unclaimed, with roughly 88% of tickets sold, as published by the Texas. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.29. Our models put its expected value at 0.75 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.75 per dollar on average at current prize levels.
THE THESIS
At 0.75 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.
- 1.10% of $1.0M prizes still unclaimed at 88% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Current daily drainage rate is 13.50% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~89 days at this pace.
- 3.Ranks in the 81st percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
13 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $43.50M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,082 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active TX games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionDaily drainage
~13.50% / day
Days left (P50)
89 days
P10 / P90 range
62–125 d
EV at P50 sellout
0.75
Claim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersTrailing 7-day claim rate 19% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.
Price vs EV — TX field
93 games · break-even highlightedNo other active TX games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN TX
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a TX game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.