TX · #2753 · $20

$1,000,000 Crossword

Texas· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.73

USA percentile

75th

of 1,986 games

Top prizes left

$1,000,000 tier

% sold-through

2%

2026-07-28

Forecast sellout

~428d

P10–P90: 300–599d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$1,000,000 Crossword is a $20 scratch-off game from the Texas (game #2753). Roughly 2% of this game's tickets have sold through to date. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.41. Our models put its expected value at 0.73 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.73 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.73 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.Current daily drainage rate is 23.00% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~428 days at this pace.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 75th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

10 tiers · % remaining
$1M
0/6
0%
$20K
0/20
$2K
250/256
$500
10.3K/10.5K
$200
121.4K/123.3K
$150
63.7K/64.7K
$100
679.3K/690.8K
$50
775.9K/789.0K
$40
679.7K/691.0K
$20
1.9M/2.0M

Total unclaimed prize value: $212.26M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 1,986 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active TX games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
TX median0.68 EV/$
YOU · 75th
USA: 75th percentileTX: 72th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Jul 13Jul 15Jul 17Jul 19Jul 21Jul 23Jul 25Jul 27Sep 290%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~09-29

Daily drainage

~23.00% / day

Days left (P50)

428 days

P10 / P90 range

300–599 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.73

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +1962%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 1962% above the 30-day mean — velocity accelerating.

Price vs EV — TX field

85 games · break-even highlighted
$0$30$60$1020.000.250.500.90YOU

No other active TX games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN TX

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal