$100, $200, $500 OR $1,000!#2678
Texas· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.75
USA percentile
82th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
2126
$1,000 tier
% sold-through
31%
2026-11-04
Forecast sellout
~231d
P10–P90: 162–323d
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
$100, $200, $500 OR $1,000! is a $20 scratch-off game from the Texas lottery (game #2678). As of the most recent daily scan, 2126 top prizes of $1,000 remain unclaimed, with roughly 31% of tickets sold, as published by the Texas lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 9.49. Our models put its expected value at 0.75 per dollar, returning about $0.75 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 6 of 17 $20 games on sale in Texas.
THE THESIS
At 0.75 EV/$, this game ranks 6 of 17 same-price games on sale in Texas (median 0.75).
- 1.71% of $1,000 prizes still unclaimed at 31% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Current daily drainage rate is 30.00% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~231 days at this pace.
- 3.Ranks in the 82nd percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
4 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $51.61M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,201 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active TX games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionDaily drainage
~30.00% / day
Days left (P50)
231 days
P10 / P90 range
162–323 d
EV at P50 sellout
0.75
Claim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersClaim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.
Price vs EV — TX field
109 games · break-even highlightedNo other active TX games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
$100, $200, $500 OR $1,000! (#2678): prizes, value and pace
As of November 4, 2026, 2126 of the 2,974 $1,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 4 prize levels the lottery reports, 362,522 of 523,408 prizes (69%) remain.
At current prize levels a $20 ticket returns about $15.01 on average (0.75 per dollar), which ranks 6 of 17 $20 games on sale in Texas, level with the $20 median of 0.75. Among every Texas game with a computable value it is 18 of 109; nationally it sits in the 82th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 44,572 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, including 269 top prizes; at the current pace the remaining tickets would sell out in about 231 days (likely range 162–323).
Figures come from the prize data the Texas lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 4, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN TX
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a TX game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.