TX · #2609 · $20

$100, $200, $500 OR $1,000!

Texas· scanned yesterday

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.75

USA percentile

81th

of 1,870 games

Top prizes left

1426

$1,000 tier

% sold-through

72%

2026-06-21

Forecast sellout

~387d

P10–P90: 271–542d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$100, $200, $500 OR $1,000! is a $20 scratch-off game from the Texas (game #2609). As of the most recent daily scan, 1426 top prizes of $1 remain unclaimed, with roughly 72% of tickets sold, as published by the Texas. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 9.49. Our models put its expected value at 0.75 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.75 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.75 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.29% of $1,000 prizes still unclaimed at 72% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 7.17% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~387 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 81st percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

4 tiers · % remaining
$1K
1.4K/4.9K
29%
$500
10.7K/39.0K
$200
44.5K/162.8K
$100
181.2K/651.1K

Total unclaimed prize value: $33.81M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 1,870 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active TX games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
TX median0.68 EV/$
YOU · 81th
USA: 81th percentileTX: 80th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 22May 26May 30Jun 3Jun 7Jun 11Jun 15Jun 19Jul 140%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~07-14

Daily drainage

~7.17% / day

Days left (P50)

387 days

P10 / P90 range

271–542 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.75

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -16%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 16% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.

Price vs EV — TX field

79 games · break-even highlighted
$0$30$60$1020.000.250.500.93YOU

No other active TX games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN TX

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal