NJ · #1952 · $3

LOTERIA

New Jersey· Launched Nov 2025· 278 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.61

USA percentile

25th

of 2,082 games

Top prizes left

1

$30,000 tier

% sold-through

86%

2026-08-31

Forecast sellout

~542d

P10–P90: 379–759d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

LOTERIA is a $3 scratch-off game from the New Jersey (game #1952). It launched in November 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $30 remains unclaimed, with roughly 86% of tickets sold, as published by the New Jersey. Our models put its expected value at 0.61 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.61 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.61 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.25% of $30,000 prizes still unclaimed at 86% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 2.67% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~542 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 25th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

12 tiers · % remaining
$30K
1/4
25%
$500
96/695
$150
177/1.5K
$100
286/2.3K
$50
1.3K/10.8K
$30
683/5.8K
$25
3.3K/28.1K
$20
10.9K/83.8K
$15
13.6K/111.7K
$10
23.0K/167.5K
$5
48.5K/335.0K
$3
95.2K/614.2K

Total unclaimed prize value: $1.48M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,082 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NJ games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
NJ median0.66 EV/$
YOU · 25th
USA: 25th percentileNJ: 22th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Jun 9Jun 17Jun 26Jul 18Jul 26Aug 3Aug 13Aug 22Feb 240%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~02-24

Daily drainage

~2.67% / day

Days left (P50)

542 days

P10 / P90 range

379–759 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.61

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -17%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 17% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.

Price vs EV — NJ field

137 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.250.500.98YOU

No other active NJ games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN NJ

If you like this game, look at these

Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal

Know when this one turns

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