NJ · #1899 · $3

LOTERIA

New Jersey· Launched Mar 2025· 504 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.63

USA percentile

30th

of 1,986 games

Top prizes left

1

$30,000 tier

% sold-through

80%

2026-07-28

Forecast sellout

~2436d

P10–P90: 1705–3410d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

LOTERIA is a $3 scratch-off game from the New Jersey (game #1899). It launched in March 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $30 remains unclaimed, with roughly 80% of tickets sold, as published by the New Jersey. Our models put its expected value at 0.63 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.63 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.63 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.25% of $30,000 prizes still unclaimed at 80% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 0.83% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~2436 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 30th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

12 tiers · % remaining
$30K
1/4
25%
$500
138/716
$150
274/1.5K
$100
451/2.4K
$50
2.1K/11.0K
$30
1.0K/5.9K
$25
5.1K/28.5K
$20
16.5K/85.2K
$15
20.7K/113.6K
$10
33.4K/170.4K
$5
68.5K/340.8K
$3
132.8K/624.8K

Total unclaimed prize value: $2.16M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 1,986 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NJ games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
NJ median0.66 EV/$
YOU · 30th
USA: 30th percentileNJ: 27th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 28Jun 3Jun 9Jun 15Jun 21Jun 27Jul 16Jul 22Mar 290%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~03-29

Daily drainage

~0.83% / day

Days left (P50)

2436 days

P10 / P90 range

1705–3410 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.63

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -15%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — NJ field

131 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.250.500.98YOU

No other active NJ games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN NJ

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal