NJ · #1949 · $1

Loose Change

New Jersey· Launched Dec 2025· 209 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.58

USA percentile

14th

of 1,986 games

Top prizes left

17

$500 tier

% sold-through

83%

2026-07-28

Forecast sellout

~283d

P10–P90: 198–396d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

Loose Change is a $1 scratch-off game from the New Jersey (game #1949). It launched in December 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 17 top prizes of $500 remain unclaimed, with roughly 83% of tickets sold, as published by the New Jersey. Our models put its expected value at 0.58 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.58 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.58 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.12% of $500 prizes still unclaimed at 83% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 6.00% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~283 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 14th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

8 tiers · % remaining
$500
17/140
12%
$100
210/1.9K
$40
1.4K/10.8K
$20
5.6K/43.3K
$10
12.0K/86.5K
$5
32.6K/216.3K
$2
88.5K/519.2K
$1
192.0K/1.1M

Total unclaimed prize value: $848,865 — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 1,986 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NJ games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
NJ median0.66 EV/$
YOU · 14th
USA: 14th percentileNJ: 8th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 28Jun 3Jun 9Jun 15Jun 21Jun 27Jul 16Jul 22May 70%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~05-07

Daily drainage

~6.00% / day

Days left (P50)

283 days

P10 / P90 range

198–396 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.58

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -13%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — NJ field

131 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.250.500.98YOU

No other active NJ games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN NJ

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal