Lady Luck
Connecticut· Launched Feb 2026· 249 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.65
USA percentile
44th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
0
$50,000 tier
% sold-through
78%
2026-11-04
Forecast sellout
~1675d
P10–P90: 1173–2345d
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Lady Luck is a $5 scratch-off game from the Connecticut lottery (game #1869). It launched in February 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 0 top prizes of $50,000 remain unclaimed, with roughly 78% of tickets sold, as published by the Connecticut lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.98. Our models put its expected value at 0.65 per dollar, returning about $0.65 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 10 of 15 $5 games on sale in Connecticut.
THE THESIS
At 0.65 EV/$, this game ranks 10 of 15 same-price games on sale in Connecticut (median 0.67).
- 1.Current daily drainage rate is 1.33% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~1675 days at this pace.
- 2.Ranks in the 44th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
11 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $1.53M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,201 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active CT games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionDaily drainage
~1.33% / day
Days left (P50)
1675 days
P10 / P90 range
1173–2345 d
EV at P50 sellout
0.65
Claim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersTrailing 7-day claim rate 54% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.
Price vs EV — CT field
85 games · break-even highlightedNo other active CT games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
Lady Luck: prizes, value and pace
As of November 4, 2026, 0 of the 4 $50,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 11 prize levels the lottery reports, 117,567 of 526,472 prizes (22%) remain; every $50,000 prize has already been claimed.
At current prize levels a $5 ticket returns about $3.27 on average (0.65 per dollar), which ranks 10 of 15 $5 games on sale in Connecticut, below the $5 median of 0.67. Among every Connecticut game with a computable value it is 42 of 76; nationally it sits in the 44th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 19 days, 3,134 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, including 1 top prize; at the current pace the remaining tickets would sell out in about 1675 days (likely range 1173–2345).
Figures come from the prize data the Connecticut lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 4, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN CT
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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a CT game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.