CT · #1869 · $5

Lady Luck

Connecticut· Launched Feb 2026· 158 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.67

USA percentile

50th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

1

$50,000 tier

% sold-through

61%

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

~149d

P10–P90: 104–209d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

Lady Luck is a $5 scratch-off game from the Connecticut (game #1869). It launched in February 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $50 remains unclaimed, with roughly 61% of tickets sold, as published by the Connecticut. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.98. Our models put its expected value at 0.67 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.67 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.67 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.25% of $50,000 prizes still unclaimed at 61% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 26.17% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~149 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 50th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

11 tiers · % remaining
$50K
1/4
25%
$5K
9/16
$1K
23/52
$500
40/109
$200
105/281
$100
2.5K/6.7K
$50
7.8K/20.9K
$25
20.6K/54.4K
$20
9.5K/25.2K
$10
80.8K/209.4K
$5
83.3K/209.4K

Total unclaimed prize value: $2.73M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active CT games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
CT median0.68 EV/$
YOU · 50th
USA: 50th percentileCT: 39th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 29Jun 5Jun 12Jun 19Jun 26Jul 16Jul 23Jul 30Jan 10%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~01-01

Daily drainage

~26.17% / day

Days left (P50)

149 days

P10 / P90 range

104–209 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.67

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · 0%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — CT field

50 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.250.500.97YOU

No other active CT games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal