CT · #1861 · $3

LOTERIA™

Connecticut· Launched Jan 2026· 215 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.87

USA percentile

98th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

2

$30,000 tier

% sold-through

93%

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

~141d

P10–P90: 99–197d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

LOTERIA™ is a $3 scratch-off game from the Connecticut (game #1861). It launched in January 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $30 remain unclaimed, with roughly 93% of tickets sold, as published by the Connecticut. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.79. Our models put its expected value at 0.87 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.87 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.87 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.67% of $30,000 prizes still unclaimed at 93% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 4.67% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~141 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 98th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

15 tiers · % remaining
$30K
2/3
67%
$10K
0/3
$1K
0/10
$500
4/31
$150
4/199
$100
14/309
$70
13/457
$50
53/1.1K
$30
76/1.6K
$20
628/10.1K
$15
468/10.1K
$10
2.0K/30.4K
$8
2.1K/40.6K
$5
5.6K/81.1K
$3
6.6K/91.2K

Total unclaimed prize value: $173,766 — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active CT games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
CT median0.68 EV/$
YOU · 98th
USA: 98th percentileCT: 98th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 28Jun 4Jun 11Jun 18Jun 25Jul 15Jul 22Jul 29Dec 240%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~12-24

Daily drainage

~4.67% / day

Days left (P50)

141 days

P10 / P90 range

99–197 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.87

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -12%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — CT field

50 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.250.500.97YOU

No other active CT games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal