CT · #1885 · $5

Fireball 7s

Connecticut· Launched Jul 2026· 19 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.68

USA percentile

54th

of 1,955 games

Top prizes left

4

$77,777 tier

% sold-through

9%

2026-07-21

Forecast sellout

~165d

P10–P90: 115–231d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

Fireball 7s is a $5 scratch-off game from the Connecticut (game #1885). It launched in July 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 4 top prizes of $77.777 remain unclaimed, with roughly 9% of tickets sold, as published by the Connecticut. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.06. Our models put its expected value at 0.68 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.68 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.68 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.100% of $77,777 prizes still unclaimed at 9% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 55.17% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~165 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 54th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

9 tiers · % remaining
$77.8K
4/4
100%
$1.8K
68/75
$577
386/431
$100
3.3K/3.6K
$57
21.5K/23.6K
$27
47.7K/52.4K
$17
95.5K/104.7K
$10
181.5K/199.0K
$5
239.4K/261.8K

Total unclaimed prize value: $8.13M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 1,955 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active CT games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
YOU · 54th
USA: 54th percentileCT: 49th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Jul 13Jul 14Jul 15Jul 16Jul 17Jul 18Jul 19Jul 20Jul 21Jan 20%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~01-02

Daily drainage

~55.17% / day

Days left (P50)

165 days

P10 / P90 range

115–231 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.68

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +563%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 563% above the 30-day mean — velocity accelerating.

Price vs EV — CT field

45 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.250.500.95YOU

No other active CT games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal