CONNECTICUT APIZZA
Connecticut· Launched Oct 2026· 23 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.68
USA percentile
55th
of 2,154 games
Top prizes left
3
$50,000 tier
% sold-through
12%
2026-10-25
Forecast sellout
~169d
P10–P90: 118–237d
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
CONNECTICUT APIZZA is a $5 scratch-off game from the Connecticut lottery (game #1904). It launched in October 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 3 top prizes of $50,000 remain unclaimed, with roughly 12% of tickets sold, as published by the Connecticut lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.16. Our models put its expected value at 0.68 per dollar, returning about $0.68 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 2 of 14 $5 games on sale in Connecticut.
THE THESIS
At 0.68 EV/$, this game ranks 2 of 14 same-price games on sale in Connecticut (median 0.66).
- 1.75% of $50,000 prizes still unclaimed at 12% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Current daily drainage rate is 52.33% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~169 days at this pace.
- 3.Ranks in the 55th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
11 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $6.21M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,154 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active CT games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionDaily drainage
~52.33% / day
Days left (P50)
169 days
P10 / P90 range
118–237 d
EV at P50 sellout
0.68
Claim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersTrailing 7-day claim rate 206% above the 30-day mean — velocity accelerating.
Price vs EV — CT field
77 games · break-even highlightedNo other active CT games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
CONNECTICUT APIZZA: prizes, value and pace
As of October 25, 2026, 3 of the 4 $50,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 11 prize levels the lottery reports, 438,418 of 495,399 prizes (88%) remain.
At current prize levels a $5 ticket returns about $3.41 on average (0.68 per dollar), which ranks 2 of 14 $5 games on sale in Connecticut, above the $5 median of 0.66. Among every Connecticut game with a computable value it is 26 of 69; nationally it sits in the 55th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 9 days, 23,677 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, including 1 top prize; at the current pace the remaining tickets would sell out in about 169 days (likely range 118–237).
Figures come from the prize data the Connecticut lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the October 25, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN CT
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a CT game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.