
Connecticut· Launched Jan 2026· 306 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.81
USA percentile
94th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
1
$1,000,000 tier
% sold-through
77%
2026-11-04
Forecast sellout
~87d
P10–P90: 61–122d
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Best Chance To Be A Millionaire is a $50 scratch-off game from the Connecticut lottery (game #1850). It launched in January 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $1M remains unclaimed, with roughly 77% of tickets sold, as published by the Connecticut lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.13. Our models put its expected value at 0.81 per dollar, returning about $0.81 per dollar on average at current prize levels.
THE THESIS
At 0.81 EV/$, this game returns about $0.81 for every $1 spent at current prize levels.
Total unclaimed prize value: $19.41M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active CT games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Daily drainage
~26.83% / day
Days left (P50)
87 days
P10 / P90 range
61–122 d
EV at P50 sellout
0.81
Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.
No other active CT games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
As of November 4, 2026, across the 9 prize levels the lottery reports, 153,539 of 660,426 prizes (23%) remain; the thinnest level is $1,000,000, with 20% of its prizes left.
At current prize levels a $50 ticket returns about $40.37 on average (0.81 per dollar). Among every Connecticut game with a computable value it is 2 of 76; nationally it sits in the 94th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 19 days, 31,808 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize; at the current pace the remaining tickets would sell out in about 87 days (likely range 61–122).
Figures come from the prize data the Connecticut lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 4, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN CT
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
We alert you the day a CT game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.