CT · #1804 · $20

$1,000,000 Gold

Connecticut· Launched Oct 2024· 602 days on shelf· scanned yesterday

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.74

USA percentile

78th

of 1,870 games

Top prizes left

1

$1,000,000 tier

% sold-through

68%

2026-06-21

Forecast sellout

~380d

P10–P90: 266–532d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$1,000,000 Gold is a $20 scratch-off game from the Connecticut (game #1804). It launched in October 2024. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $1M remains unclaimed, with roughly 68% of tickets sold, as published by the Connecticut. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.19. Our models put its expected value at 0.74 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.74 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.74 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.33% of $1.0M prizes still unclaimed at 68% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 8.33% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~380 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 78th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

9 tiers · % remaining
$1M
1/3
33%
$25K
3/7
$5K
24/73
$1K
183/565
$500
3.7K/12.1K
$50
28.5K/91.9K
$40
32.7K/105.1K
$30
66.9K/210.2K
$20
63.1K/196.9K

Total unclaimed prize value: $9.25M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 1,870 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active CT games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
CT median0.68 EV/$
YOU · 78th
USA: 78th percentileCT: 78th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 30Jun 2Jun 5Jun 8Jun 11Jun 14Jun 17Jun 20Jul 70%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~07-07

Daily drainage

~8.33% / day

Days left (P50)

380 days

P10 / P90 range

266–532 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.74

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -7%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — CT field

41 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.250.500.93YOU

No other active CT games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal