Instant Million
Arkansas· Launched Oct 2025· 372 days on shelf· scanned 65d ago
EV / Dollar
0.81
USA percentile
94th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
2
$1,000,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-08-31
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Instant Million is a $20 scratch-off game from the Arkansas lottery (game #868). It launched in October 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $1M remain unclaimed, as published by the Arkansas lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 2.96. Our models put its expected value at 0.81 per dollar, returning about $0.81 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 3 of 6 $20 games on sale in Arkansas.
THE THESIS
At 0.81 EV/$, this game ranks 3 of 6 same-price games on sale in Arkansas (median 0.80).
- 1.67% of $1.0M prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Ranks in the 94th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
11 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $18.30M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,201 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active AR games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionClaim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersPrice vs EV — AR field
77 games · break-even highlightedNo other active AR games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
Instant Million: prizes, value and pace
As of August 31, 2026, 2 of the 3 $1,000,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 11 prize levels the lottery reports, 381,605 of 1,055,128 prizes (36%) remain; every $50,000 prize has already been claimed.
At current prize levels a $20 ticket returns about $16.2 on average (0.81 per dollar), which ranks 3 of 6 $20 games on sale in Arkansas, above the $20 median of 0.80. Among every Arkansas game with a computable value it is 6 of 73; nationally it sits in the 94th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 25 days, 37,972 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the Arkansas lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the August 31, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN AR
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a AR game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.