AR · #815 · $20

$1,000,000 Jackpot

Arkansas· Launched Oct 2024· 645 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.88

USA percentile

98th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

1

$1,000,000 tier

% sold-through

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$1,000,000 Jackpot is a $20 scratch-off game from the Arkansas (game #815). It launched in October 2024. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $1M remains unclaimed, as published by the Arkansas. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 2.96. Our models put its expected value at 0.88 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.88 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.88 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.Ranks in the 98th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

35 tiers · % remaining
$5
0 left
$1M
1/3
$6
0 left
$5
0 left
$5
0 left
$50K
1/2
$5
0 left
$5
0/10
$4
0 left
$4
0 left
$10K
0/4
$4
0 left
$4
0/10
$5K
1/7
$1K
21/270
$3
0 left
$3
0 left
$3
0 left
$3
0/10
$500
1.0K/13.5K
$2
0 left
$100
7.2K/90.3K
$2
0 left
$2
0 left
$1
0 left
$2
0 left
$50
18.1K/226.4K
$40
14.9K/181.2K
$1
0 left
$30
15.9K/181.3K
$4
0/10
$20
40.7K/452.8K
$3
0/10
$2
0/10
$1
0/10

Total unclaimed prize value: $5.10M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active AR games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
AR median0.70 EV/$
YOU · 98th
USA: 98th percentileAR: 97th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +52%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 52% above the 30-day mean — velocity accelerating.

Price vs EV — AR field

77 games · break-even highlighted
$0$6$12$220.000.250.500.99YOU

No other active AR games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal