I CAN'T EVEN 5
West Virginia· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.68
USA percentile
53th
of 2,159 games
Top prizes left
2
$5,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-10-26
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
I CAN'T EVEN 5 is a $5 scratch-off game from the West Virginia lottery (game #1263). As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $5,000 remain unclaimed, as published by the West Virginia lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.24. Our models put its expected value at 0.68 per dollar, returning about $0.68 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 16 of 42 $5 games on sale in West Virginia.
THE THESIS
At 0.68 EV/$, this game ranks 16 of 42 same-price games on sale in West Virginia (median 0.67).
- 1.50% of $5,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Ranks in the 53rd percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
8 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $1.14M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,159 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active WV games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionClaim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersClaim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.
Price vs EV — WV field
132 games · break-even highlightedNo other active WV games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
I CAN'T EVEN 5: prizes, value and pace
As of October 26, 2026, 2 of the 4 $5,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 8 prize levels the lottery reports, 79,734 of 134,984 prizes (59%) remain.
At current prize levels a $5 ticket returns about $3.38 on average (0.68 per dollar), which ranks 16 of 42 $5 games on sale in West Virginia, level with the $5 median of 0.67. Among every West Virginia game with a computable value it is 63 of 127; nationally it sits in the 53th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 13,522 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, including 1 top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the West Virginia lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the October 26, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN WV
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a WV game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.