WHITE ELEPHANT
Washington· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.61
USA percentile
25th
of 2,154 games
Top prizes left
3
$2,000 tier
% sold-through
2%
2026-10-25
Forecast sellout
~389d
P10–P90: 272–545d
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
WHITE ELEPHANT is a $1 scratch-off game from the Washington lottery (game #2023). As of the most recent daily scan, 3 top prizes of $2,000 remain unclaimed, with roughly 2% of tickets sold, as published by the Washington lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.83. Our models put its expected value at 0.61 per dollar, returning about $0.61 per dollar on average at current prize levels, the best of 5 $1 games on sale in Washington.
THE THESIS
At 0.61 EV/$, this game ranks 1 of 5 same-price games on sale in Washington (median 0.59).
- 1.100% of $2,000 prizes still unclaimed at 2% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Current daily drainage rate is 25.33% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~389 days at this pace.
- 3.Ranks in the 25th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
10 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $1.12M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,154 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active WA games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionDaily drainage
~25.33% / day
Days left (P50)
389 days
P10 / P90 range
272–545 d
EV at P50 sellout
0.61
Claim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersPrice vs EV — WA field
79 games · break-even highlightedNo other active WA games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
WHITE ELEPHANT: prizes, value and pace
As of October 25, 2026, 3 of the 3 $2,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 10 prize levels the lottery reports, 475,279 of 482,697 prizes (98%) remain.
At current prize levels a $1 ticket returns about $0.61 on average (0.61 per dollar), which ranks 1 of 5 $1 games on sale in Washington, above the $1 median of 0.59. Among every Washington game with a computable value it is 55 of 79; nationally it sits in the 25th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
At the current pace the remaining tickets would sell out in about 389 days (likely range 272–545).
Figures come from the prize data the Washington lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the October 25, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN WA
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a WA game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.