PICK YOUR POTION — $5 Washington scratch-off ticket
WA · #2011 · $5

PICK YOUR POTION

Washington· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.68

USA percentile

52th

of 2,082 games

Top prizes left

4

$50,000 tier

% sold-through

8%

2026-08-31

Forecast sellout

~117d

P10–P90: 82–164d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

PICK YOUR POTION is a $5 scratch-off game from the Washington (game #2011). As of the most recent daily scan, 4 top prizes of $50 remain unclaimed, with roughly 8% of tickets sold, as published by the Washington. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.34. Our models put its expected value at 0.68 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.68 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.68 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.100% of $50,000 prizes still unclaimed at 8% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 79.17% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~117 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 52nd percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

12 tiers · % remaining
$50K
4/4
100%
$1K
6/6
$500
8/8
$100
119/126
$75
93/100
$50
23.0K/25.1K
$30
7.6K/8.3K
$25
2.9K/3.1K
$20
11.3K/12.3K
$15
5.7K/6.2K
$10
79.3K/85.9K
$5
210.4K/227.2K

Total unclaimed prize value: $3.83M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,082 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active WA games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
WA median0.66 EV/$
YOU · 52th
USA: 52th percentileWA: 61th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Aug 18Aug 20Aug 22Aug 24Aug 26Aug 28Aug 30Dec 260%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~12-26

Daily drainage

~79.17% / day

Days left (P50)

117 days

P10 / P90 range

82–164 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.68

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +148%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 148% above the 30-day mean — velocity accelerating.

Price vs EV — WA field

71 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.250.500.97YOU

No other active WA games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN WA

If you like this game, look at these

Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal

Know when this one turns

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