PICK YOUR POTION
Washington· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.64
USA percentile
40th
of 2,154 games
Top prizes left
1
$50,000 tier
% sold-through
52%
2026-10-25
Forecast sellout
~78d
P10–P90: 55–109d
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
PICK YOUR POTION is a $5 scratch-off game from the Washington lottery (game #2011). As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $50,000 remains unclaimed, with roughly 52% of tickets sold, as published by the Washington lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.34. Our models put its expected value at 0.64 per dollar, returning about $0.64 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 12 of 21 $5 games on sale in Washington.
THE THESIS
At 0.64 EV/$, this game ranks 12 of 21 same-price games on sale in Washington (median 0.65).
- 1.25% of $50,000 prizes still unclaimed at 52% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Current daily drainage rate is 60.67% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~78 days at this pace.
- 3.Ranks in the 40th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
12 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $1.88M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,154 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active WA games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionDaily drainage
~60.67% / day
Days left (P50)
78 days
P10 / P90 range
55–109 d
EV at P50 sellout
0.64
Claim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersClaim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.
Price vs EV — WA field
79 games · break-even highlightedNo other active WA games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
PICK YOUR POTION: prizes, value and pace
As of October 25, 2026, 1 of the 4 $50,000 top prizes is still unclaimed; across the 12 prize levels the lottery reports, 175,273 of 368,226 prizes (48%) remain; the thinnest level is $50,000, with 25% of its prizes left.
At current prize levels a $5 ticket returns about $3.22 on average (0.64 per dollar), which ranks 12 of 21 $5 games on sale in Washington, below the $5 median of 0.65. Among every Washington game with a computable value it is 46 of 79; nationally it sits in the 40th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 80,033 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, including 1 top prize; at the current pace the remaining tickets would sell out in about 78 days (likely range 55–109).
Figures come from the prize data the Washington lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the October 25, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN WA
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a WA game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.