$500 FRENZY
Washington· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.64
USA percentile
36th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
163
$500 tier
% sold-through
81%
2026-11-04
Forecast sellout
~2308d
P10–P90: 1616–3231d
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
$500 FRENZY is a $5 scratch-off game from the Washington lottery (game #1982). As of the most recent daily scan, 163 top prizes of $500 remain unclaimed, with roughly 81% of tickets sold, as published by the Washington lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.35. Our models put its expected value at 0.64 per dollar, returning about $0.64 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 13 of 21 $5 games on sale in Washington.
THE THESIS
At 0.64 EV/$, this game ranks 13 of 21 same-price games on sale in Washington (median 0.65).
- 1.16% of $500 prizes still unclaimed at 81% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Current daily drainage rate is 0.83% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~2308 days at this pace.
- 3.Ranks in the 36th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
10 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $1.36M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,201 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active WA games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionDaily drainage
~0.83% / day
Days left (P50)
2308 days
P10 / P90 range
1616–3231 d
EV at P50 sellout
0.64
Claim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersTrailing 7-day claim rate 25% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.
Price vs EV — WA field
81 games · break-even highlightedNo other active WA games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
$500 FRENZY: prizes, value and pace
As of November 4, 2026, 163 of the 1,018 $500 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 10 prize levels the lottery reports, 127,525 of 663,016 prizes (19%) remain; the thinnest level is $500, with 16% of its prizes left.
At current prize levels a $5 ticket returns about $3.19 on average (0.64 per dollar), which ranks 13 of 21 $5 games on sale in Washington, below the $5 median of 0.65. Among every Washington game with a computable value it is 51 of 81; nationally it sits in the 36th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 2,242 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, including 1 top prize; at the current pace the remaining tickets would sell out in about 2308 days (likely range 1616–3231).
Figures come from the prize data the Washington lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 4, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN WA
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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a WA game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.