WA · #1982 · $5

$500 FRENZY

Washington· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.64

USA percentile

38th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

195

$500 tier

% sold-through

77%

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

~208d

P10–P90: 146–291d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$500 FRENZY is a $5 scratch-off game from the Washington (game #1982). As of the most recent daily scan, 195 top prizes of $500 remain unclaimed, with roughly 77% of tickets sold, as published by the Washington. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.35. Our models put its expected value at 0.64 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.64 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.64 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.19% of $500 prizes still unclaimed at 77% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 11.00% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~208 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 38th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

10 tiers · % remaining
$500
195/1.0K
19%
$200
18/74
$100
104/479
$50
9.3K/45.2K
$30
1.9K/9.2K
$25
1.4K/6.7K
$20
4.7K/22.2K
$15
2.5K/11.0K
$10
34.6K/155.8K
$5
96.8K/411.4K

Total unclaimed prize value: $1.63M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active WA games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
WA median0.65 EV/$
YOU · 38th
USA: 38th percentileWA: 37th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 29Jun 5Jun 12Jun 19Jun 26Jul 16Jul 23Jul 30Mar 10%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~03-01

Daily drainage

~11.00% / day

Days left (P50)

208 days

P10 / P90 range

146–291 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.64

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +5%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — WA field

65 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.250.500.99YOU

No other active WA games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN WA

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal