VA · #2194 · $5

Livin’ Lucky with Luke Combs

Virginia· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.68

USA percentile

56th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

1

$200,000 tier

% sold-through

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

Livin’ Lucky with Luke Combs is a $5 scratch-off game from the Virginia (game #2194). As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $200 remains unclaimed, as published by the Virginia. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.01. Our models put its expected value at 0.68 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.68 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.68 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.33% of $200,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 56th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

12 tiers · % remaining
$200K
1/3
33%
$50K
1/3
$2K
9/30
$500
126/487
$200
418/1.6K
$100
1.2K/4.9K
$50
8.1K/31.7K
$25
8.5K/32.6K
$20
38.3K/146.6K
$15
32.2K/122.1K
$10
65.1K/244.4K
$5
108.3K/391.2K

Total unclaimed prize value: $3.60M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active VA games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
YOU · 56th
USA: 56th percentileVA: 52th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +27%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 27% above the 30-day mean — velocity accelerating.

Price vs EV — VA field

132 games · break-even highlighted
$0$15$30$520.000.350.701.29break-even · 1.00 EV/$YOU

1 other VA game above break-even at this time.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN VA

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal