Livin’ Lucky with Luke Combs
Virginia· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.68
USA percentile
57th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
1
$200,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-11-04
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Livin’ Lucky with Luke Combs is a $5 scratch-off game from the Virginia lottery (game #2194). As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $200,000 remains unclaimed, as published by the Virginia lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.01. Our models put its expected value at 0.68 per dollar, returning about $0.68 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 8 of 20 $5 games on sale in Virginia.
THE THESIS
At 0.68 EV/$, this game ranks 8 of 20 same-price games on sale in Virginia (median 0.68).
- 1.33% of $200,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Ranks in the 57th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
12 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $3.54M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,201 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active VA games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionClaim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersTrailing 7-day claim rate 46% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.
Price vs EV — VA field
148 games · break-even highlighted2 other VA games above break-even at this time.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
Livin’ Lucky with Luke Combs: prizes, value and pace
As of November 4, 2026, 1 of the 3 $200,000 top prizes is still unclaimed; across the 12 prize levels the lottery reports, 257,646 of 975,615 prizes (26%) remain; the thinnest level is $100, with 25% of its prizes left.
At current prize levels a $5 ticket returns about $3.42 on average (0.68 per dollar), which ranks 8 of 20 $5 games on sale in Virginia, above the $5 median of 0.68. Among every Virginia game with a computable value it is 54 of 111; nationally it sits in the 57th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 744 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, none of them a top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the Virginia lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 4, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN VA
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a VA game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.