Bursting with $5,000s
Virginia· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.79
USA percentile
92th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
939
$5,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-11-04
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Bursting with $5,000s is a $30 scratch-off game from the Virginia lottery (game #2300). As of the most recent daily scan, 939 top prizes of $5,000 remain unclaimed, as published by the Virginia lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.75. Our models put its expected value at 0.79 per dollar, returning about $0.79 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 5 of 8 $30 games on sale in Virginia.
THE THESIS
At 0.79 EV/$, this game ranks 5 of 8 same-price games on sale in Virginia (median 0.79).
- 1.35% of $5,000 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Ranks in the 92nd percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
7 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $9.92M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,201 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active VA games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionClaim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersTrailing 7-day claim rate 17% above the 30-day mean — velocity accelerating.
Price vs EV — VA field
148 games · break-even highlighted2 other VA games above break-even at this time.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
Bursting with $5,000s: prizes, value and pace
As of November 4, 2026, 939 of the 2,684 $5,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 7 prize levels the lottery reports, 111,309 of 324,654 prizes (34%) remain; the thinnest level is $150, with 33% of its prizes left.
At current prize levels a $30 ticket returns about $23.76 on average (0.79 per dollar), which ranks 5 of 8 $30 games on sale in Virginia, level with the $30 median of 0.79. Among every Virginia game with a computable value it is 15 of 111; nationally it sits in the 92th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 1,823 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, including 9 top prizes.
Figures come from the prize data the Virginia lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 4, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN VA
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a VA game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.