TX · #2669 · $10

Mega Loteria

Texas· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.69

USA percentile

59th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

3

$250,000 tier

% sold-through

69%

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

~171d

P10–P90: 120–239d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

Mega Loteria is a $10 scratch-off game from the Texas (game #2669). As of the most recent daily scan, 3 top prizes of $250 remain unclaimed, with roughly 69% of tickets sold, as published by the Texas. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.54. Our models put its expected value at 0.69 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.69 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.69 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.30% of $250,000 prizes still unclaimed at 69% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 18.17% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~171 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 59th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

11 tiers · % remaining
$250K
3/10
30%
$5K
47/137
$1K
567/1.7K
$500
1.9K/6.3K
$200
23.0K/76.1K
$100
107.4K/354.6K
$50
209.5K/689.2K
$30
626.2K/2.1M
$20
421.8K/1.4M
$15
434.7K/1.4M
$10
1.2M/3.8M

Total unclaimed prize value: $74.09M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active TX games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
TX median0.68 EV/$
YOU · 59th
USA: 59th percentileTX: 56th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 28Jun 4Jun 11Jun 18Jun 25Jul 15Jul 22Jul 29Jan 230%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~01-23

Daily drainage

~18.17% / day

Days left (P50)

171 days

P10 / P90 range

120–239 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.69

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +6%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — TX field

89 games · break-even highlighted
$0$30$60$1020.000.250.500.90YOU

No other active TX games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal