
Texas· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.69
USA percentile
58th
of 2,154 games
Top prizes left
—
$250,000 tier
% sold-through
6%
2026-10-25
Forecast sellout
~472d
P10–P90: 330–661d
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Limited Edition Mega Loteria is a $10 scratch-off game from the Texas lottery (game #2721). Roughly 6% of this game's tickets have sold through to date. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.54. Our models put its expected value at 0.69 per dollar, returning about $0.69 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 5 of 14 $10 games on sale in Texas.
THE THESIS
At 0.69 EV/$, this game ranks 5 of 14 same-price games on sale in Texas (median 0.68).
Total unclaimed prize value: $194.41M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active TX games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Daily drainage
~19.83% / day
Days left (P50)
472 days
P10 / P90 range
330–661 d
EV at P50 sellout
0.69
Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.
No other active TX games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
As of October 25, 2026, across the 10 prize levels the lottery reports, 7,969,462 of 8,508,777 prizes (94%) remain.
At current prize levels a $10 ticket returns about $6.89 on average (0.69 per dollar), which ranks 5 of 14 $10 games on sale in Texas, above the $10 median of 0.68. Among every Texas game with a computable value it is 43 of 105; nationally it sits in the 58th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 503,615 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, including 10 top prizes; at the current pace the remaining tickets would sell out in about 472 days (likely range 330–661).
Texas also sells another issue of Limited Edition Mega Loteria: game #2676. Each issue has its own print run and prize pool, so their odds and remaining prizes differ.
Figures come from the prize data the Texas lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the October 25, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN TX
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
We alert you the day a TX game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.