
Texas· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.63
USA percentile
35th
of 2,201 games
Top prizes left
3436
$200 tier
% sold-through
53%
2026-11-04
Forecast sellout
~445d
P10–P90: 312–623d
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Find $200 is a $2 scratch-off game from the Texas lottery (game #2715). As of the most recent daily scan, 3436 top prizes of $200 remain unclaimed, with roughly 53% of tickets sold, as published by the Texas lottery. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.82. Our models put its expected value at 0.63 per dollar, returning about $0.63 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 4 of 9 $2 games on sale in Texas.
THE THESIS
At 0.63 EV/$, this game ranks 4 of 9 same-price games on sale in Texas (median 0.63).
Total unclaimed prize value: $5.52M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active TX games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Daily drainage
~10.67% / day
Days left (P50)
445 days
P10 / P90 range
312–623 d
EV at P50 sellout
0.63
Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.
No other active TX games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
As of November 4, 2026, 3436 of the 7,609 $200 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 6 prize levels the lottery reports, 902,131 of 1,902,033 prizes (47%) remain; the thinnest level is $200, with 45% of its prizes left.
At current prize levels a $2 ticket returns about $1.27 on average (0.63 per dollar), which ranks 4 of 9 $2 games on sale in Texas, level with the $2 median of 0.63. Among every Texas game with a computable value it is 85 of 109; nationally it sits in the 35th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 68,918 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, including 288 top prizes; at the current pace the remaining tickets would sell out in about 445 days (likely range 312–623).
Figures come from the prize data the Texas lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the November 4, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN TX
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
We alert you the day a TX game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.