TX · #2430 · $5

Bonus Break the Bank

Texas· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.67

USA percentile

50th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

5

$100,000 tier

% sold-through

55%

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

~477d

P10–P90: 334–668d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

Bonus Break the Bank is a $5 scratch-off game from the Texas (game #2430). As of the most recent daily scan, 5 top prizes of $100 remain unclaimed, with roughly 55% of tickets sold, as published by the Texas. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.28. Our models put its expected value at 0.67 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.67 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.67 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.50% of $100,000 prizes still unclaimed at 55% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 9.50% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~477 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 50th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

9 tiers · % remaining
$100K
5/10
50%
$5K
41/102
$500
1.1K/2.5K
$100
29.3K/66.5K
$50
149.1K/336.8K
$20
179.7K/403.9K
$15
360.5K/808.0K
$10
605.5K/1.3M
$5
812.5K/1.8M

Total unclaimed prize value: $30.76M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active TX games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
TX median0.68 EV/$
YOU · 50th
USA: 50th percentileTX: 43th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 28Jun 4Jun 11Jun 18Jun 25Jul 15Jul 22Jul 29Nov 250%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~11-25

Daily drainage

~9.50% / day

Days left (P50)

477 days

P10 / P90 range

334–668 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.67

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +7%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — TX field

89 games · break-even highlighted
$0$30$60$1020.000.250.500.90YOU

No other active TX games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal