OK · #779 · $50

Win Big

Oklahoma· Launched Dec 2024· 594 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.88

USA percentile

99th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

2

$3,000,000 tier

% sold-through

37%

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

~950d

P10–P90: 665–1330d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

Win Big is a $50 scratch-off game from the Oklahoma (game #779). It launched in December 2024. As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $3M remain unclaimed, with roughly 37% of tickets sold, as published by the Oklahoma. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 2.93. Our models put its expected value at 0.88 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.88 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.88 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.100% of $3.0M prizes still unclaimed at 37% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 6.67% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~950 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 99th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

12 tiers · % remaining
$3M
2/2
100%
$300K
2/3
$50K
3/4
$20K
2/4
$2.5K
1/2
$2K
37/56
$1.5K
31/50
$1K
106/169
$500
782/1.2K
$200
2.6K/4.1K
$100
97.0K/153.2K
$50
58.2K/91.8K

Total unclaimed prize value: $20.54M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active OK games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
OK median0.68 EV/$
YOU · 99th
USA: 99th percentileOK: 97th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 28Jun 4Jun 11Jun 18Jun 25Jul 15Jul 22Jul 29Mar 120%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~03-12

Daily drainage

~6.67% / day

Days left (P50)

950 days

P10 / P90 range

665–1330 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.88

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +13%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — OK field

64 games · break-even highlighted
$0$30$60$1020.000.300.601.02break-even · 1.00 EV/$YOU

No other active OK games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN OK

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal