OK · #806 · $10

Mystery Crossword

Oklahoma· Launched Sep 2025· 328 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.74

USA percentile

77th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

1

$100,000 tier

% sold-through

88%

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

~123d

P10–P90: 86–172d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

Mystery Crossword is a $10 scratch-off game from the Oklahoma (game #806). It launched in September 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $100 remains unclaimed, with roughly 88% of tickets sold, as published by the Oklahoma. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 2.86. Our models put its expected value at 0.74 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.74 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.74 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.33% of $100,000 prizes still unclaimed at 88% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 9.33% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~123 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 77th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

9 tiers · % remaining
$100K
1/3
33%
$1K
5/71
$500
21/290
$300
63/676
$100
124/1.4K
$50
1.3K/14.7K
$30
1.1K/12.1K
$20
17.4K/175.9K
$10
15.4K/102.5K

Total unclaimed prize value: $746,290 — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active OK games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
OK median0.68 EV/$
YOU · 77th
USA: 77th percentileOK: 75th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 29Jun 5Jun 12Jun 19Jun 26Jul 16Jul 23Jul 30Dec 60%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~12-06

Daily drainage

~9.33% / day

Days left (P50)

123 days

P10 / P90 range

86–172 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.74

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -7%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — OK field

64 games · break-even highlighted
$0$30$60$1020.000.300.601.02break-even · 1.00 EV/$YOU

No other active OK games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal