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Match 2 Win
Oklahoma· Launched Jul 2026· 19 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.58
USA percentile
14th
of 1,955 games
Top prizes left
3
$5,000 tier
% sold-through
3%
2026-07-21
Forecast sellout
~414d
P10–P90: 290–580d
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Match 2 Win is a $1 scratch-off game from the Oklahoma (game #844). It launched in July 2026. As of the most recent daily scan, 3 top prizes of $5 remain unclaimed, with roughly 3% of tickets sold, as published by the Oklahoma. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.04. Our models put its expected value at 0.58 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.58 per dollar on average at current prize levels.
THE THESIS
At 0.58 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.
- 1.100% of $5,000 prizes still unclaimed at 3% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Current daily drainage rate is 23.50% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~414 days at this pace.
- 3.Ranks in the 14th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
15 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $563,224 — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 1,955 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active OK games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionDaily drainage
~23.50% / day
Days left (P50)
414 days
P10 / P90 range
290–580 d
EV at P50 sellout
0.58
Claim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersTrailing 7-day claim rate 219% above the 30-day mean — velocity accelerating.
Price vs EV — OK field
64 games · break-even highlightedNo other active OK games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN OK
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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal