OK · #820 · $5

$500 Frenzy

Oklahoma· Launched Dec 2025· 244 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.62

USA percentile

29th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

277

$500 tier

% sold-through

84%

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

~81d

P10–P90: 57–113d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$500 Frenzy is a $5 scratch-off game from the Oklahoma (game #820). It launched in December 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 277 top prizes of $500 remain unclaimed, with roughly 84% of tickets sold, as published by the Oklahoma. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.25. Our models put its expected value at 0.62 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.62 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.62 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.12% of $500 prizes still unclaimed at 84% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 19.83% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~81 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 29th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

9 tiers · % remaining
$500
277/2.3K
12%
$100
63/477
$50
32/281
$25
222/1.6K
$20
344/2.4K
$15
86/647
$12
2.5K/16.2K
$10
14.5K/97.0K
$5
29.8K/178.1K

Total unclaimed prize value: $484,018 — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active OK games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
OK median0.68 EV/$
YOU · 29th
USA: 29th percentileOK: 35th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 28Jun 4Jun 11Jun 18Jun 25Jul 15Jul 22Jul 29Oct 250%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~10-25

Daily drainage

~19.83% / day

Days left (P50)

81 days

P10 / P90 range

57–113 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.62

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -2%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — OK field

64 games · break-even highlighted
$0$30$60$1020.000.300.601.02break-even · 1.00 EV/$YOU

No other active OK games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal