NY · #1654 · $10

MONEY MATCH

New York· Launched May 2025· 456 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.63

USA percentile

34th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

$3,000,000 tier

% sold-through

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

MONEY MATCH is a $10 scratch-off game from the New York (game #1654). It launched in May 2025. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 4.01. Our models put its expected value at 0.63 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.63 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.63 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.33% of $150 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 34th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

11 tiers · % remaining
$150
1/3
33%
$5K
3/10
$2K
5/15
$500
8.4K/28.4K
$200
13.1K/43.7K
$100
36.8K/122.7K
$50
43.7K/145.8K
$40
52.8K/174.8K
$30
158.9K/524.6K
$20
425.5K/1.4M
$10
608.1K/1.9M

Total unclaimed prize value: $34.19M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NY games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
NY median0.62 EV/$
YOU · 34th
USA: 34th percentileNY: 61th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Not enough historical data to render chart.

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +4%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — NY field

121 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.300.601.01break-even · 1.00 EV/$YOU

No other active NY games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN NY

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal