$5,000,000 SPECTACULAR
New York· Launched Sep 2026· 54 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.68
USA percentile
53th
of 2,154 games
Top prizes left
—
$5,000,000 tier
% sold-through
—
2026-10-25
Forecast sellout
—
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
$5,000,000 SPECTACULAR is a $20 scratch-off game from the New York lottery (game #1709). It launched in September 2026. Overall odds of winning any prize are 1 in 3.85. Our models put its expected value at 0.68 per dollar, returning about $0.68 per dollar on average at current prize levels, number 10 of 14 $20 games on sale in New York.
THE THESIS
At 0.68 EV/$, this game ranks 10 of 14 same-price games on sale in New York (median 0.68).
- 1.100% of $250 prizes still unclaimed at ??% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
- 2.Ranks in the 53rd percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Prize ladder
12 tiers · % remainingTotal unclaimed prize value: $229.62M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
EV percentile · USA + state
vs 2,154 active gamesWhere this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NY games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining
historical + P50 projectionClaim heat · 30-day strip
claims per day, all tiersClaim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.
Price vs EV — NY field
128 games · break-even highlightedNo other active NY games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim cadence · the roll
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
ABOUT THIS GAME
$5,000,000 SPECTACULAR: prizes, value and pace
As of October 25, 2026, 18 of the 20 $20,000 top prizes are still unclaimed; across the 11 prize levels the lottery reports, 4,409,702 of 4,816,969 prizes (92%) remain.
At current prize levels a $20 ticket returns about $13.53 on average (0.68 per dollar), which ranks 10 of 14 $20 games on sale in New York, level with the $20 median of 0.68. Among every New York game with a computable value it is 28 of 128; nationally it sits in the 53th percentile. Like nearly every scratch-off, it pays back less than it costs on average.
Over the last 30 days, 248,664 prizes were claimed across the reported levels, including 1 top prize.
Figures come from the prize data the New York lottery publishes (official game page), which Tirage checks daily; this page reflects the October 25, 2026 update. See how we calculate value.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN NY
If you like this game, look at these
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal
Know when this one turns
We alert you the day a NY game crosses break-even, and send a weekly digest of what moved.