NJ · #1945 · $10

Winter Ice

New Jersey· Launched Oct 2025· 279 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.73

USA percentile

76th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

1

$500,000 tier

% sold-through

79%

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

~363d

P10–P90: 254–508d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

Winter Ice is a $10 scratch-off game from the New Jersey (game #1945). It launched in October 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $500 remains unclaimed, with roughly 79% of tickets sold, as published by the New Jersey. Our models put its expected value at 0.73 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.73 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.73 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.50% of $500,000 prizes still unclaimed at 79% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 5.83% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~363 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 76th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

10 tiers · % remaining
$500K
1/2
50%
$5K
2/6
$2K
6/24
$500
272/1.4K
$200
374/2.0K
$100
8.9K/46.4K
$50
29.0K/144.7K
$30
22.0K/107.2K
$20
50.9K/243.8K
$10
52.3K/182.9K

Total unclaimed prize value: $5.27M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NJ games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
NJ median0.66 EV/$
YOU · 76th
USA: 76th percentileNJ: 90th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 29Jun 5Jun 12Jun 19Jun 26Jul 16Jul 23Jul 30Aug 30%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~08-03

Daily drainage

~5.83% / day

Days left (P50)

363 days

P10 / P90 range

254–508 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.73

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -10%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — NJ field

134 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.250.500.98YOU

No other active NJ games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN NJ

If you like this game, look at these

Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal