NJ · #1920 · $10

The Shore Thing

New Jersey· Launched May 2025· 439 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.69

USA percentile

60th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

1

$500,000 tier

% sold-through

65%

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

~1178d

P10–P90: 825–1649d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

The Shore Thing is a $10 scratch-off game from the New Jersey (game #1920). It launched in May 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $500 remains unclaimed, with roughly 65% of tickets sold, as published by the New Jersey. Our models put its expected value at 0.69 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.69 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.69 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.33% of $500,000 prizes still unclaimed at 65% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 3.00% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~1178 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 60th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

10 tiers · % remaining
$500K
1/3
33%
$5K
4/12
$2K
4/12
$500
588/1.8K
$200
968/2.9K
$100
17.2K/50.0K
$50
48.3K/139.5K
$30
21.5K/61.8K
$20
86.5K/247.1K
$10
155.4K/432.4K

Total unclaimed prize value: $9.08M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NJ games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
NJ median0.66 EV/$
YOU · 60th
USA: 60th percentileNJ: 66th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 28Jun 4Jun 11Jun 18Jun 25Jul 15Jul 22Jul 29Oct 260%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~10-26

Daily drainage

~3.00% / day

Days left (P50)

1178 days

P10 / P90 range

825–1649 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.69

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -10%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — NJ field

134 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.250.500.98YOU

No other active NJ games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN NJ

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal