NJ · #1879 · $2

It's Gold Outside

New Jersey· Launched Nov 2024· 641 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.63

USA percentile

32th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

2

$10,000 tier

% sold-through

78%

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

~6651d

P10–P90: 4656–9311d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

It's Gold Outside is a $2 scratch-off game from the New Jersey (game #1879). It launched in November 2024. As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $10 remain unclaimed, with roughly 78% of tickets sold, as published by the New Jersey. Our models put its expected value at 0.63 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.63 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.63 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.25% of $10,000 prizes still unclaimed at 78% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 0.33% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~6651 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 32nd percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

10 tiers · % remaining
$10K
2/8
25%
$1K
4/24
$250
69/349
$100
458/2.7K
$40
3.0K/16.2K
$20
23.3K/122.7K
$10
44.7K/220.7K
$5
71.7K/306.5K
$4
54.5K/245.2K
$2
179.1K/785.2K

Total unclaimed prize value: $2.05M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NJ games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
NJ median0.66 EV/$
YOU · 32th
USA: 32th percentileNJ: 31th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 28Jun 4Jun 11Jun 18Jun 25Jul 15Jul 22Jul 29Oct 200%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~10-20

Daily drainage

~0.33% / day

Days left (P50)

6651 days

P10 / P90 range

4656–9311 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.63

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · +18%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 18% above the 30-day mean — velocity accelerating.

Price vs EV — NJ field

134 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.250.500.98YOU

No other active NJ games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN NJ

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal