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New Jersey· Launched Jul 2025· 370 days on shelf· scanned today
EV / Dollar
0.65
USA percentile
42th
of 1,986 games
Top prizes left
2
$10,000 tier
% sold-through
55%
2026-07-28
Forecast sellout
~299d
P10–P90: 209–419d
18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.
Birthday Surprise is a $2 scratch-off game from the New Jersey (game #1904). It launched in July 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 2 top prizes of $10 remain unclaimed, with roughly 55% of tickets sold, as published by the New Jersey. Our models put its expected value at 0.65 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.65 per dollar on average at current prize levels.
THE THESIS
At 0.65 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.
Total unclaimed prize value: $1.93M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.
Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NJ games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.
Daily drainage
~15.17% / day
Days left (P50)
299 days
P10 / P90 range
209–419 d
EV at P50 sellout
0.65
Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.
No other active NJ games currently clear break-even.
Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.
States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.
SIMILAR PLAYS IN NJ
Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal