NJ · #1914 · $10

$500,000 Triple Match

New Jersey· Launched Jan 2025· 578 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.67

USA percentile

48th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

0

$500,000 tier

% sold-through

82%

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

~10572d

P10–P90: 7400–14801d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$500,000 Triple Match is a $10 scratch-off game from the New Jersey (game #1914). It launched in January 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 0 top prizes of $500 remain unclaimed, with roughly 82% of tickets sold, as published by the New Jersey. Our models put its expected value at 0.67 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.67 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.67 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.Current daily drainage rate is 0.17% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~10572 days at this pace.
  2. 2.Ranks in the 48th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

13 tiers · % remaining
$500K
0/3
0%
$5K
4/15
$2.5K
24/91
$500
96/727
$250
206/1.2K
$200
440/2.4K
$150
500/3.0K
$100
2.5K/15.1K
$50
11.5K/65.7K
$40
23.3K/126.1K
$30
22.3K/121.0K
$20
45.0K/242.1K
$10
59.7K/363.1K

Total unclaimed prize value: $4.27M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NJ games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
YOU · 48th
USA: 48th percentileNJ: 51th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 29Jun 5Jun 12Jun 19Jun 26Jul 16Jul 23Jul 30Jul 160%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~07-16

Daily drainage

~0.17% / day

Days left (P50)

10572 days

P10 / P90 range

7400–14801 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.67

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -18%

Trailing 7-day claim rate 18% below the 30-day mean — activity slowing.

Price vs EV — NJ field

134 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.250.500.98YOU

No other active NJ games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal