NJ · #1929 · $10

$500,000 Lion's Share

New Jersey· Launched Aug 2025· 342 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.66

USA percentile

46th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

1

$500,000 tier

% sold-through

68%

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

~696d

P10–P90: 487–974d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$500,000 Lion's Share is a $10 scratch-off game from the New Jersey (game #1929). It launched in August 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $500 remains unclaimed, with roughly 68% of tickets sold, as published by the New Jersey. Our models put its expected value at 0.66 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.66 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.66 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.33% of $500,000 prizes still unclaimed at 68% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 4.67% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~696 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 46th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

9 tiers · % remaining
$500K
1/3
33%
$10K
3/9
$2K
9/30
$500
554/1.7K
$200
1.5K/4.8K
$100
20.8K/64.9K
$50
30.3K/92.7K
$40
39.6K/123.5K
$20
80.8K/247.1K

Total unclaimed prize value: $7.93M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NJ games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
YOU · 46th
USA: 46th percentileNJ: 47th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 29Jun 5Jun 12Jun 19Jun 26Jul 16Jul 23Jul 30Jul 10%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~07-01

Daily drainage

~4.67% / day

Days left (P50)

696 days

P10 / P90 range

487–974 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.66

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -12%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — NJ field

134 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.250.500.98YOU

No other active NJ games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN NJ

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal