NJ · #1843 · $10

$500,000 Gold Payout

New Jersey· Launched Feb 2024· 940 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.69

USA percentile

60th

of 2,082 games

Top prizes left

1

$500,000 tier

% sold-through

62%

2026-08-31

Forecast sellout

~22602d

P10–P90: 15821–31643d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$500,000 Gold Payout is a $10 scratch-off game from the New Jersey (game #1843). It launched in February 2024. As of the most recent daily scan, 1 top prize of $500 remains unclaimed, with roughly 62% of tickets sold, as published by the New Jersey. Our models put its expected value at 0.69 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.69 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.69 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.33% of $500,000 prizes still unclaimed at 62% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 0.17% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~22602 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 60th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

10 tiers · % remaining
$500K
1/3
33%
$10K
2/6
$2K
6/14
$500
3.0K/8.2K
$200
3.5K/9.5K
$100
42.5K/115.4K
$50
115.0K/311.4K
$30
53.6K/143.3K
$20
213.5K/573.0K
$10
383.8K/1.0M

Total unclaimed prize value: $22.46M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,082 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NJ games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
NJ median0.66 EV/$
YOU · 60th
USA: 60th percentileNJ: 69th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
Jun 9Jun 18Jun 27Jul 19Jul 27Aug 4Aug 14Aug 23Jul 180%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~07-18

Daily drainage

~0.17% / day

Days left (P50)

22602 days

P10 / P90 range

15821–31643 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.69

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -8%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — NJ field

137 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.250.500.98YOU

No other active NJ games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN NJ

If you like this game, look at these

Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal

Know when this one turns

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