NJ · #1947 · $20

$5,000 Festive Frenzy

New Jersey· Launched Oct 2025· 279 days on shelf· scanned today

Lottery site

EV / Dollar

0.70

USA percentile

65th

of 2,022 games

Top prizes left

12

$5,000 tier

% sold-through

92%

2026-08-05

Forecast sellout

~773d

P10–P90: 541–1082d

18+ only. For entertainment purposes — not financial advice. Scratch-offs have a negative expected return on average. 1-800-GAMBLER if you need help.

$5,000 Festive Frenzy is a $20 scratch-off game from the New Jersey (game #1947). It launched in October 2025. As of the most recent daily scan, 12 top prizes of $5 remain unclaimed, with roughly 92% of tickets sold, as published by the New Jersey. Our models put its expected value at 0.70 per dollar, among the stronger plays in its price tier, returning about $0.70 per dollar on average at current prize levels.

THE THESIS

At 0.70 EV/$, this game offers above-average expected return relative to its price tier, with meaningful prize coverage remaining.

  1. 1.9% of $5,000 prizes still unclaimed at 92% sell-through — the top tier has not burned out.
  2. 2.Current daily drainage rate is 1.00% of remaining tickets — projected sellout in ~773 days at this pace.
  3. 3.Ranks in the 65th percentile of all active US scratch-off games by expected value per dollar.
Read the full case ↓

Prize ladder

7 tiers · % remaining
$5K
12/134
9%
$500
528/7.7K
$200
1.5K/22.5K
$100
3.7K/54.4K
$50
8.5K/113.5K
$40
7.3K/92.8K
$20
15.2K/185.2K

Total unclaimed prize value: $2.02M — weighted to top-tier prizes as of latest data feed.

EV percentile · USA + state

vs 2,022 active games

Where this game ranks versus all active US scratch-offs (USA) and all active NJ games (state). Better means more unclaimed prize value relative to remaining tickets.

USA median · 50th0.67 EV/$
NJ median0.66 EV/$
YOU · 65th
USA: 65th percentileNJ: 74th percentile

Burn-down forecast · % tickets remaining

historical + P50 projection
May 28Jun 4Jun 11Jun 18Jun 25Jul 15Jul 22Jul 29Sep 160%25%50%75%100%TODAYsellout ~09-16

Daily drainage

~1.00% / day

Days left (P50)

773 days

P10 / P90 range

541–1082 d

EV at P50 sellout

0.70

Claim heat · 30-day strip

claims per day, all tiers
30d ago15dlast 7d · -7%

Claim velocity is consistent with the 30-day mean.

Price vs EV — NJ field

134 games · break-even highlighted
$0$8$16$24$320.000.250.500.98YOU

No other active NJ games currently clear break-even.

Top-prize claim cadence · the roll

Top-prize claim history is not published for this state.

States that report individual claim events (TX, NY, PA, FL, NC) will show a full timeline here. This game's state does not currently publish that data.

SIMILAR PLAYS IN NJ

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Same state · same price tier · similar EV signal